Time to Unleash the Dogs of the Dow in 2023? The Dogs of the Dow strategy reminds us of the importance of dividends
Stock markets in the U.S. and around the globe turned in a rotten 2022, with fears of inflation, rising rates, and supply chain issues swirling around the economy and markets all year.
Seven interest rate hikes from the Fed, 40-year inflation highs, a cooling off housing market, slowing manufacturing and a war in Ukraine all provided a steady – if not howling –wind blowing against the markets all year.
When investors review their account statements for the year, they will see that there really were not too many places to hide, as the stock and bond markets set records that we won't soon forget:
- For equity investors, 2022 brought the biggest losses since the 2008 great financial crisis.
- For bond investors, this was the worst year on record for the Barclay's U.S. Aggregate Bond Index since it began over 45 years ago.
Remembering the Dogs of the Dow
As you know, the Dow Jones Industrial Index (the Dow or DJIA) is one of the most widely-followed benchmarks for tracking U.S. stocks and stock market performance. It is made up of 30 large publicly traded companies in the U.S., which are selected by Dow Jones& Company based on their market capitalization, liquidity, and industry sector representation.
The Dow Dogs of the Dow strategy is an investment approach that involves buying an equal dollar amount in the the10highest-yielding Dow stocks at the start of each year and holding them for a year. At the end of the ear, the process is to be repeated by selling the previous year’s picks and buying the new highest-yielding stocks (one variation of the process is buying the stocks and holding for a year plus a month so that dividends are collected and another variation involves rebalancing quarterly).
The Dogs of the Dow Did Well in 2022 Over the years, the Dogs of the Dow strategy has generated mixed results, but in a year like 2022, dividends really made a difference. In fact, in 2022 the Dow Dogs of the Dow outperformed the Dow Jones Industrial Index, returning +2.2%versus a -8.8% for the DJIA. This strong performance can be attributed to DJIA components like IBM, Chevron, Merck, Amgen, and Coca-Cola, which all posted gains last year. Chevron, for example, jumped a staggering 53% in addition to yielding 4.6%.
The 2023 Dogs of the Dow
Looking ahead, the 2023 Dow Dogs of the Dow strategy may continue to outperform the DJIA – but it might not. If it does, it will likely be due to the attractive dividend yields that these stocks offer.
Material prepared for Devin Garofalo
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
Any company names noted herein are for educational purposes only and not an indication of trading intent or a solicitation of their products or services.